ALPHA-INDIA CONSULTANCY
Publications
The article views Greenland as a vital element in U.S. nuclear deterrence rather than a political tool, impacting early warning and force survivability amid great-power competition. This significance extends beyond the Arctic, as U.S. nuclear deterrence credibility crucial for Euro-Atlantic and Indo-Pacific security. Geography and basing are to alliance assurance and strategic stability. Notably, this is not an analysis of President Trump's negotiation style.
The article argues that the proposed sea-launched cruise missile–nuclear (SLCM-N) is essential to maintaining allied udeterrence in the Indo-Pacific and Euro-Atlantic theatres. The article proposes three options for deployment of the SLCM-N on Virginia-class submarines under AUKUS. It concludes that nuclear-capable arrangements best preserve flexible deterrence and are central to escalation management and conflict prevention in an increasingly unstable nuclear environment.
The U.S. lacks military readiness to deter conflict with China over Taiwan. While its Asia-Pacific forces are strong, logistical challenges hinder effective deterrence against a PRC attack. Instead, credible deterrence might be better achieved through the threat of theatre-nuclear weapons, such as the SLCM-N, positioned in the region.
As strategic competition grows in the Indo-Pacific, there’s increased interest in a regional defense pact. However, the’s main challenge is deterring large-scale conventional war or nuclear attacks. Instead of a broad defense arrangement, a focused nuclear alliance aimed at preventing catastrophic conflict would be more. This clarity helps strengthen deterrence and reduces the risk of entrapment, ensuring member states aren't pulled into lower-level conflicts. Ultimately, clearer commitments at the highest escalation levels can enhance stability. I delve the strategic logic, historicalents, and practical implications of such an alliance.
The article suggests enhancing the U.S. Golden Dome missile defense by integrating with AUKUS Pillar 2, the trilateral tech cooperation among Australia, the UK, and the U.S. This integration would improve burden-sharing, strengthen collective deterrence, and create a more resilient defense system than one solely on the U.S. Contributions from allies in advanced technologies are essential a strong joint defense network.
Both Israel’s and Ukraine’s special operations are likely to offer valuable insights for covert missions targeting air power. However, their influence on deterrence and long-term strategic stability must be assessed within a broader and continuous deterrence framework. A diminished Iran might become increasingly resolute in its nuclear aspirations to re-establish deterrence, while a humiliated Russia may be inclined to resort to nuclear weapons.
